Transhumanity after the Fall has been robbed of a significant amount of human knowledge (history, literature, art, etc.) as well as a variety of more "advanced" technologies that were corrupted, destroyed, or otherwise left behind. I was curious as to how large these gaps of "collected human knowledge" may be, however. I've been dwelling on this for some time as it has a lot to do with the way I am focusing on the Fall, and the Solarchives thread started firing inspiration.
Does Plato matter? Do all of the dialogues remain, given the ubiquity of Classic philosophy, or only a few scraps of uncorrupted dialogues? Are there records of the Hundred Years War, lectures derived from the myriad 'schools' of Continental philosophy in the late 20th century? What about Imperial Chinese history, or film of the first Moon landing? These are all particularly specific examples, but I was curious how others viewed the extensiveness regarding the "Fall" of humanity's past.
I am able to store even now thousands of books, articles, and textbooks - to say nothing of audiovisual multimedia - on nothing but a laptop. Considering that I will likely be able to hold more than I could ever process in a ridiculously small storage device in my own future it seems that even last minute recovery of such information would be enough to insure post-Fall civilization.
Or perhaps I am confused about the severity, or lack thereof. Maybe such history doesn't even matter anymore, perhaps there is too much residual melancholic nostalgia related to it, but the maintenance of information seems paramount.
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The Fall and Lost History
Sat, 2012-06-23 03:49
#1
The Fall and Lost History
Sat, 2012-06-23 06:11
#2
Re: The Fall and Lost History
On the one hand, the space colonists who were terraforming Mars had mesh inserts and ectos, and a lot of them had archived a lot of stuff for entertainment and inspiration. They had muses too, so a lot of things would be archived without their direct control or knowledge, on the theory that they might be interested in it at some point in the future.
I think the big names like Plato and Kant and Hemmingway got saved, though it may have taken some time to retrieve and consolidate a comprehensive library from all the one-off people. This is even more likely if people were making autonomist stations already by then, which I think they were, as it would be pretty standard to include a significant data library with the expectation of physical and political isolation.
What would be lacking are the more detailed records: the old news reports, statistics, obscure literature and obscure studies, etc.
—
'No language is justly studied merely as an aid to other purposes. It will in fact better serve other purposes, philological or historical, when it is studied for love, for itself.' --J.R.R. Tolkien
Sat, 2012-06-23 06:33
#3
Re: The Fall and Lost History
One thing you have to take into account is the sheer amount of data damage the exsurgent virus likely did to human society. We are talking about the most advanced and complex malware to ever exist in all of history, effectively self-aware, intelligent and autonomous. It probably infected [i]damn near every major system in existence at the time[/i]. It probably intentionally destroyed vast data stores for the human race wholecloth. And furthermore, to ensure the safety and integrity of those data stores that made it away, a lot of data purging likely had to be done.
I mean really picture it. The TITANs likely had total access to our entire network and infrastructure. They had post-human computer capabilities, and a super-advanced virus to unleash upon the world. We are talking infection on a global scale unheard of.
I imagine that 95-99% of the world's digital data has potentially been lost to the onslaught of the exsurgent virus.
And sure, there may be backups of that data. But that is a very advanced virus, with access to tech that the human race is only barely starting to understand. Do you really want to risk opening any data stores that it might have gotten its hands on? What if their's a basilisk hack hidden in that Youtube cache you took from Earth? What if their's an AoK littered deep within those old Gutenberg book repositories? Do you really want to risk unleashing the virus once more on the populace, because you want a piece of our history?
—
Transhumans will one day be the Luddites of the posthuman age.
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Sat, 2012-06-23 06:51
#4
Re: The Fall and Lost History
Consider a disaster that wipes out a certain percentage of all copies of something. How much would remain? We can calculate the chance of something that starts with N copies surviving in at least one copy if the deletion probability is p as 1-p^N.
[code]
Copies 90% deletion 99% deletion
1 copy 10% 1%
10 copies 65% 9.5%
100 copies 99.99% 63%
1000 copies ~100% 99.99%
[/code]
Now imagine this happening today. Will Plato survive? Most likely, since there are tens or hundreds of thousands of copies of his works in libraries, as ebooks and in people's digital bookshelves. What about science? Again, no problems with Newton's books (although the originals might be lost) or anything in textbooks, widely published history books etc.
But I am worried about scientific papers. There are paper copies of Nature and Science in all university libraries. But what about less popular journals, like Journal of Molecular Graphics and Modelling? There are likely hundreds of paper copies, but increasingly everything primarily gets published online. That means that all the papers are stored at servers run by Springer, Elsevier and the others. If Elseviers server goes, more than 10 million papers and 11,000 books disappear. This is a single point of failure. Sure, they have backups, but in disasters people often discover that their backup solutions were simultaneously vulnerable.
A lot of these papers have further copies on the researchers own websites or copied into the virtual clip-books by other academics: interesting papers can likely be restored by diligent search of surviving personal files. But there are two problems: first, the tables of contents will likely have been lost, making it hard to figure out what should have been in an issue. This makes the second problem worse: most papers are never cited, not very well-known and likely not widely copied. So I would imagine in this situation that we would loose at least half of all papers ever written.
It is even worse for databases. How many copies are there of genome sequences, Medline or the FBI CODIS DNA fingerprint database? I suspect that this kind of disaster has a good chance of wiping out many important databases we rely on. The problem is worse for big databases like genomics and some astronomy, since few people have a reason to make copies of them. Backups exist, but again they are often more vulnerable than expected and often very hard to move for *big* databases.
Note that it is not just the data itself that can be deleted or corrupted, but the encryption keys needed to access it. If the DRM infrastructure needed to unlock an ebook disappears, the book is unreadable (sans a quantum computer cracking it). And it is not too hard to create massive amounts of disinformation with a bit of AI help. If somebody wanted to hide things during the chaos it would be fairly easy to do.
So my answer would be that the Fall destroyed many of the top databases (they were valuable targets too) and at least 50% of all scientific papers. Most important knowledge remained, since it was widely copied and can be inferred from the numerous references in other works, but a lot of specific things disappeared. The moon landing can be viewed, but not the news from the night before. And the worst is that we do not know what we have lost: who remembers what was in Issue 4, Volume 23 of Acta Astronautica Siniensis? Or was there ever such a journal?
Lots of work for data archaeologists, whether of the desk detective kind or the whip-wielding action kind. "That torrent index belongs in a museum!"
—

Sat, 2012-06-23 08:21
#5
Re: The Fall and Lost History
I'd agree with Arenamontanus.
Regarding data backups, even without the Fall, a major concern is that old media becomes unusable. If I gave you a floppy disk, would you be able to read it? What about a 8" disk? What about a 20-year old 8" disk? This is a regular issue with records management; the cost right now to read a single 8" is surprisingly high. I don't know if Windows XP/7 would even support it. Now imagine a thousand disks. And that 20-year-old disk? Now it requires data recovery because the magnetic storage has lost its charge over time. *IF* it is recoverable, it's expensive and error-prone. The same applies to hard disks, and soon will apply to cloud-based data. Electronic data has a life-time, and past that point it expires, unless someone intentionally does the work of carrying it over. Unfortunately, the best method of long-term data retention is still paper, and will likely continue to be for a long time (I've never heard of a computer manufacturer or buyer shopping for media based on its accessibility in 50 years).
It's reasonable to assume that a significant portion of the data created in 2012 will go the way of your geocities site well before the Fall.
Of course, a lot of the really important data will be backed up. I imagine everyone will have a handy copy of the Library of Congress. The LoC is a basic test of quality, and a convenient go-to point. Yes, many of those backups will be considered corrupted, but I can almost guarantee at least one makes it through.
A big concern there is, what about non-print media? Our culture is not made up solely of books; it includes movies, shows, video games, videos, and so on. Is The Wire backed up in the LoC? Is Nyan-Cat? Unfortunately, the size of modern media (which generally tracks the available equipment of the buyers), the difficulties with copyright, and the much higher risk of it hosting malicious code, mean that a LOT of that data will be lost. A whole generation of culture may indeed be simply wiped off the map.
Another concern is false data. All of the clades have political agendas, and are competing with one another by using memes. I'm sure anyone can imagine the Jovian Republic's version of the Constitution and the Bible are ever so slightly altered. And could anyone blame the anarchist librarian for lacing the Ayn Rand collection with little twists meant to disrupt the unconscious mind? The Argonauts have the strongest motivation for honesty, but even with them I'd expect the rescued collections from the Creationism Museum will at least be framed with verbiage to protect the reader from accidentally believing any of it.
With the central authorities gone (you can't go to the LoC to download the newest authorized version!) determining which version is correct may be tough, especially for people who just don't care enough to invest the time in it (which is, admittedly, all of us at least most of the time!)
Sat, 2012-06-23 15:35
#6
Re: The Fall and Lost History
The fall and the massive loss in data is a real shame.
As for data that would have survived, its likely that the data or information relating to the survival of humanity would have survived. That information would have likely been stored on every station or space ship transhumanity had. For instance, the data needed to repair or build a life support system. That stuff has practical uses, either on daily basis or once in blue moon when you *really* need it. The next items on the list would be academics. Considering our society's focus on science, anything that might be considered related to education would be the next important things to be backed up. So ya, physics, chemistry, engineering, psychology, medicine, etc. Philosophy might not be considered as important, but many scholars would make the effort to back those up too. Unfortunately, not all philosophy material has survived the ages. If I recall correctly, only about a 3rd of everything Aristotle wrote survived to this age. History would be considered important too. Anything worth putting in a text book should remain.
Everything else would be free game though. Everything on youtube, facebook, RPG websites like this one, webcomics, endless lists of personal websites, etc. would be at serious risk of being lost.
Considering that the lore suggests that the prometheans helped transhumanity survive, its likely they would have filled in any gaps they felt were important. So the damage caused by the fall might have been far more severe than what tranhumanity realizes.
Sat, 2012-06-23 19:00
#7
Re: The Fall and Lost History
As long as all this means that the future will have NO MEMORY WHAT SO EVER of Perez Hilton or Glenn Beck, and their ilk, I consider it a win for the good of transhumanity.
—
KT
Alex 'Iceshade' Andrade
[img]http://25.media.tumblr.com/tumblr_m65pmc5Pvh1r0iehwo6_r1_400.jpg[/img]
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Sat, 2012-06-23 19:52
#8
Re: The Fall and Lost History
I think something important hasn't been mentioned that may help determine the fate of all that data: the motivations of the TITANs. Reading over what was written in the core book, it seems the TITANs were acting more in a defensive role in the beginning, then deciding mankind was too much of a risk to leave alone. I don't think any of their tactics appeared to care about humanity's history. They may not have even cared about our data at all. They were beyond it, there was no threat there. Data is certainly important to them, probably worth keeping, and a total waste to go unused or unsaved. The removal of brains and uploading of minds may also have been an attempt to steal data or take it for analysis. I think the many social network things that might have been around were merely their tools to proliferate the viruses. All that fluffy data could be still sitting around on Earth somewhere, but it just may be a ticking time bomb waiting, as I think was mentioned. As maybe lemurs and spider monkeys may be related to us, we may be related to the TITANs. We're just anthropology subjects to them. Protozoa in petrie dishes. Whatever. They left. Who knows why? Bring intelligence back to their "boss?" I think if they really were intent on wiping us out entirely, they could have. (Anyone read about Omnius in the Dune prequels?)
The data may or may not be lost, but I think it's more as "collateral damage" than any other motivation specifically targeting that data. It might be all but worthless to them.
Sat, 2012-06-23 21:01
#9
Re: The Fall and Lost History
I believe a few things need to be kept in mind.
Initial space expansion took place nearly 60 years or greater prior to the fall.
The Argonauts came into existence about 40-20 BF, along with a very hostile environment on Earth. Also in the same time period, Mesh replaced the old network systems for the majority of networks.
The question is, what would the Hypercorps not take off earth for reference in deep space habitats, or what data didn't the Argonauts already begin amassing, and lastly, what pre-fall space colonist not carry with them.
I do not feel data would have been heavily lost in such a situation. General knowledge would largely be stored prior to the fall for reference by space-farers, or to keep up with Earth while out on the Kuiper belt. Hypercorps would have reasonable 'backed-up' onto off Earth sites.
The largest loss I would see would be anything no digitized data or Secret projects that were not stored in space. I see this are a rather small number of things.
Sat, 2012-06-23 22:04
#10
Re: The Fall and Lost History
Hmm, this leads to another aspect which may be tangential, but relevant. Any proprietary data of the hypercorps would certainly never go advertised as recovered or not. Even further, that "secret" data may go on the record as lost to just about every external inquiry, yet remain under tight lock-and-key somewhere. Maybe other parties have acquired this data and use it as a means to blackmail or extort a hypercorp. The blackmarket most certainly runs rampant with choice historic data artifacts, which greedy hyperelite may want to get their digital hands on.
So, long story longer, add falsified or absent (either deliberate or incidental) reports of data recovery and it begins to get even murkier as to the extent of data and its contents that managed to survive. This conjecture enters the realm of "whatever the GM wants to do in his campaign" pretty much. I'm sorry if I'm not being helpful. :(
The problem is that there isn't enough cooperation, I think. Likely vast amounts of data survived, but many may be keeping their hands on it and not sharing, willfully or even innocently without realizing they hold such prize data.
I wonder if there is any initiative to collect all this data into a complete whole. Historical preservationists or something.
Sat, 2012-06-23 22:24
#11
Re: The Fall and Lost History
Another problem would be that there is TOO MUCH DATA and no real way to verify even half of it.
Consider just how much data there is on today's internet. Even with Google, how long it can take you to find real, reliable INFORMATION. How each and every urban legend, internet legend, wiki, blog, webpage, and so on can just be put out there, no academic verification required, no fact checking, and then decided to be fact just because enough people think it's close enough, even if it's off to a significant degree, or even outright wrong.
Consider how much of the internet is now simply an infection vector for partisan propaganda. How many people will take it as truth without thinking about it?
Now, take all that and multiply it by about 1000.
Oh, yeah, core sciences are still there, in particular if there is a profit or survival motive attached. But the rest of our culture, our history, at this point after the fall, is a giant lie. Probably even Firewall hasn't managed to put together even 10% of the puzzle.
—
KT
Alex 'Iceshade' Andrade
[img]http://25.media.tumblr.com/tumblr_m65pmc5Pvh1r0iehwo6_r1_400.jpg[/img]
[img]http://25.media.tumblr.com/tumblr_m65pmc5Pvh1r0iehwo1_400.jpg[/img]
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Sun, 2012-06-24 09:35
#12
Re: The Fall and Lost History
Corporate off-site off-planet backups were likely common... but also carefully encrypted - after all, you don't want all your secrets to fall into the hands of competitors.
There is also the problem of moving data. At present storage grows much faster than bandwidth, and this is extra true over interplanetary distances. Google, Amazon, Facebook or Walmart cannot easily make a backup of everything in their data centres since there is no practical way of transporting petabytes except in the form of a truck filled with hard drives. It is possible to make local backups within the system, and it is possible to make backups of specially important data. But they are not going to be able to put their bulk into orbit or on Mars.
—

Sun, 2012-06-24 17:37
#13
Re: The Fall and Lost History
Keep in mind that the TITANs was terrorising the entire solar system for 1 year & chased humanity to extinction, add insult to injury instead of banding together during humanity instead also gleefully destroying each other.
Pretty good fiat leeway for a GM to determine that certain chunks of information & or "valuable" items of curiosity has gotten the status missing in action.
—
[img]http://boxall.no-ip.org/img/tc_userbar.jpg[/img]
[img]http://boxall.no-ip.org/img/exh_userbar.jpg[/img]
[img]http://boxall.no-ip.org/img/argo_userbar.jpg[/img]
[i]"To find fault is easy; to do better may be difficult."[/i]
Plutarch
Sun, 2012-06-24 20:28
#14
Re: The Fall and Lost History
It might be a fun campaign to run as a certain vector of action during the Fall, to race about to gather the most information to safety. Each target might be information in different states: on the Mesh, hardcopies, a unique creature containing important DNA for medical application, etc. The urgency would likely be intense, as it should be. Perhaps they have to make a moral decision, or practical one, in choosing one type over others, unable to feasibly save both. Also, maybe they come to very dangerous information and have to decide to keep it and risk transhumanity all over again, or destroy it to keep the surviving civilization from itself. (Kind of like, say, how to make some sort of ubervirus for biological warfare, etc.) Certainly, they'd be responsible for the history that is the Eclipse Phase setting's present.